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Middlesbrough promotion chances outlined as Opta predict final 2024/25 Championship position

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Middlesbrough need to improve if they want to win promotion from the Championship this season.

Boro ended 2023/24 sat four points outside the play-off places – a disappointing result for Michael Carrick.

The former Manchester United ace took the Teessiders to the play-off semi-finals the campaign prior after a fourth-place finish.

But injury issues and the need to revamp Middlesbrough’s first-team squad after a mass exodus in the summer of 2023 greatly hampered the Teessiders.

With all their key faces kept at the Riverside Stadium this summer, however, expectations were high going into 2024/25.

So far though, Middlesbrough have looked a shadow of the team that lost just one of their last 12 Championship fixtures last season.

After a defeat to local rivals Sunderland last time out, Boro have moved down to 12th in the Championship table.

Position Team Played MP Won W Drawn D Lost L For GF Against GA Diff GD Points Pts
10 DerbyDerby6 3 0 3 8 7 1 9
11 NorwichNorwich6 2 2 2 8 7 1 8
12 MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough6 2 2 2 6 5 1 8
13 Bristol CityBristol City6 2 2 2 8 12 -4 8

Middlesbrough face Stoke City on Saturday and anything but a win from that game could prove detrimental to their promotion hopes.

Sunderland AFC v Middlesbrough FC - Sky Bet Championship
Photo by MI News/NurPhoto via Getty Images

Opta predict where Middlesbrough will finish 2024/25 Championship season

Middlesbrough last won promotion to the Premier League in 2015/16 under Aitor Karanka.

Since then, several managers including Tony Pulis, Neil Warnock and Chris Wilder have tried and failed to get Boro back in the top flight.

Carrick’s fourth-place finish in 2022/23 was their best since their relegation back to the second division, with a fifth-place finish in 2017/18 the only other time Middlesbrough have made it into the play-offs since 2016/17.

That could be about to change this season, however, as Opta have now predicted the final 2024/25 Championship table.

It is semi-good news for the North East outfit, who are predicted to earn 69 points and finish sixth in the division, just about securing a play-off place ahead of Blackburn Rovers.

West Bromwich Albion are being backed to win the Championship, with Leeds United taking second place.

Sunderland AFC v Middlesbrough FC - Sky Bet Championship
Photo by MI News/NurPhoto via Getty Images

Middlesbrough record in Championship play-offs

Since its rebrand in 2004/05, Middlesbrough have competed in the Championship play-offs on three occasions.

Karanka took the North East outfit all the way to Wembley in 2014/15 before watching Boro lose to Norwich City in the final.

Middlesbrough then made it into the play-offs for a second time in 2017/18 but fared even worse.

Boro faced Aston Villa in the semi-finals and lost the home leg 1-0 before drawing 0-0 at Villa Park three days later.

It was a similarly boring story in 2022/23 when Middlesbrough drew 0-0 away to Coventry City before losing the second leg 1-0 at the Riverside.

With such a dismal record in the competition, Boro fans are no doubt desperate to see their side secure an automatic promotion place instead of having to battle it out in the play-offs come May.